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Hurricane Helene expected to be major Cat 4 storm when it hits Florida

It’s possible it can be a category 5 too!

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HOUSTON – Hurricane Helene, now a Category 2 storm, is set to rapidly intensify into a monster storm throughout the day before landfall this evening. In fact, Helene is expected to become a major Category 4 hurricane, and it isn’t out of the question it may be a Cat 5.

Hurricane Helene (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

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Landfall will be tonight along the panhandle of Florida. The exceptionally warm Gulf Stream waters are fueling its swift intensification. While the forecast cone shows where the center might hit, dangerous impacts will extend far beyond that area, especially inland areas near Tallahassee and even into parts of Georgia.

Hurricane Helene (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)
Impacts to Florida and Georgia:

Let’s start with the storm surge impacts. Our partners at qrisq.com show a high storm surge where the center of the storm hits and to the right of the storm. In this forecast it is in the big bend with a 20′+ surge!

Storm surge from Helene (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)
Hurricane Watches/Warnings (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

The wind threat is large. Some of the tropical storm-force winds will likely reach the east coast of Florida with hurricane force winds through central Georgia. This graphic maxes out at 111 mph and with a cat 4 or 5 the winds will be stronger.

Hurricane force winds make it all the way to Macon, GA (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

Rainfall totals ranging from 10 to 13 inches will fall along the storm’s centerline. This will lead to flash flooding on top of the storm surge.

Rainfall totals (Copyright 2024 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved.)

This is going to be a monster. Hopefully all Florida residents in the path of evacuation did indeed evacuate.


About the Authors
Anthony Yanez headshot

Two-time Emmy award winning meteorologist and recipient of the 2022 American Meteorological Society’s award for Excellence in Science Reporting by a Broadcast Meteorologist.

Justin Stapleton headshot

Meteorologist, craft beer guru, dad to Maya and Ella and a sock and cheese addict.

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